Authors : Sa’ad Ibrahim, Babangida Malik, Umar Mohammed Lawal, Ibrahim Sa’adu, Abdullahi Mohammad
Volume/Issue : Volume 4 - 2019, Issue 12 - December
Google Scholar : https://goo.gl/DF9R4u
Scribd : https://bit.ly/367sUoN
The crop/grassland of savannah is a complex
ecosystem in which the relation between vegetation
productivity and precipitation is uncertain due to high
interannual climate variability and anthropogenic
activities. This posed a serious threat to biodiversity,
food security and socioeconomic development. In view of
this, previous studies have emphasized on identifying the
effective modelling approaches for quantifying these
relationships, mostly by comparing the ordinary least
square (OLS) and geographically weighted regression
(GWR) models. Although, the conventional regression
failed to successfully model these relationships, most
previous research who compare the two techniques for
studying the influence of precipitation on vegetation only
used normalized vegetation difference index (NDVI)
metrics for various locations without referring to specific
vegetation type. In this study, we investigated the
relationships between the NDVI metrics acquired from a
15-year Moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer
(MODIS) time series data and mean total annual
precipitation generated from the inverse distance
weighted interpolation technique using the ground
observations data (15 years) of 42 weather stations in
Nigeria. The study compared OLS and GWR modelling
approaches in a crop/grassland dominated savannah.
OLS did not find any significant relationship between
the NDVI metrics and mean total annual precipitation.
In contrast, the GWR modelling shows that the
relationship exists. The rainfed crops (R2 = 0.66), mosaic
croplands/vegetation (R2 = 0.65) and mosaic
vegetation/croplands (R2 =58) were found to respond
more strongly to mean total annual precipitation using
GWR. The GWR found the highest R2 values of 0.66 and
0.97 for the individual observations and global estimate
respectively. The rainfed crops, mosaic
croplands/vegetation and mosaic vegetation/croplands
showed the largest variability, and were much more
sensitive to variability in the precipitation than other
vegetation types.