Last 10 years Mongolian Government and
Central banks borrowed a huge amount of money from
China. I want to study about influential factors and
empirical research on debt cooperation between China
and Mongolia. Because Mongolian external debt is
increasing by every year, we are facing problems that a
huge amount of money back pay. Today Mongolia’s
loans borrowing from Republic of China equals 33
percent of GDP. China is the most important investing
country for Mongolia. For this reason, this topic is much
interesting to me. My purposes of this research is to
define the influential factors on debt cooperation
between China and Mongolia. I have achieved purposes
of my thesis, I used OLS regression method. I also built
two model on this paper. In open economy, defining
Mongolian foreign loan is based on simple model
(Financial depth, GDP and others). It involved
hypothesis that Mongolian loan has impact on these
variables in the short term. Hence, linear expressions of
variables are able to measure the impacts of Mongolian
foreign loan. In the first model, dependent variable is
debt that Government of Mongolia and Central bank
borrowed from China. In Second model, dependent
variable is debt that Commercial bank of Mongolia
borrowed from China.
The equation results, the change in volume of debt that
Government of Mongolia and Central bank borrowed
from China is depending on the following variables such
as Mongolia’s and China’s GDP growth, Mongolia’s and
China’s financial depth, the M2 money-to GDP ratio,
and net export. The change in volume of debt that
Commercial bank and other sector’s borrowed from
China is depending on the following variables such as
China’s GDP growth, Mongolia’s and China’s financial
depth, the M2 money-to GDP ratio, and net export.
Keywords : GDP; Debt; Mongolia; M2; Financial Depth.